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The final two occasions money-market fund belongings surged — in 2008 and in 2020 — the Federal Reserve slashed rates of interest. Hartnett is keen on the saying, “markets cease panicking when central banks begin panicking,” and he famous a surge in emergency Fed low cost window borrowing has traditionally occurred round an enormous stock-market low.
Historical past, in accordance with the BofA group, says to promote the final rate of interest hike. “Credit score and inventory markets are too grasping for charge cuts, not fearful sufficient of recession,” they are saying. In spite of everything, when banks borrow from the Fed in an emergency, they tighten lending requirements, which in flip leads to much less lending, and that results in much less small-business optimism, which finally cracks the labor market.
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