An worker handles one kilogram of gold bullions on the YLG Bullion Worldwide Co. headquarters in Bangkok, Thailand, on Friday, Dec. 22, 2023.
Chalinee Thirasupa | Bloomberg | Getty Photographs
Gold jumped to a file Tuesday as rising expectations of a September rate of interest reduce bolstered demand for bullion.
Gold futures settled up 1.6% to an all-time closing excessive of $2,467.8 per ounce, after additionally hitting a brand new intraday file excessive of $2,474.5 in the course of the session. Gold futures costs have climbed greater than 19% this yr.
Spot gold jumped 1.9% to $2,468.68 an oz. in the course of the session. LSEG knowledge exhibits that is an all-time excessive going again to 1968, with out adjusting for inflation.
Gold costs hit file highs earlier this yr earlier than pulling again because the prospect of higher-for-longer rates of interest dampened investor enthusiasm for the valuable steel. However curiosity within the asset has grown after June’s softer inflation knowledge and a few lately dovish feedback from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell mixed to boost the chances of fee cuts coming this yr. Markets are pricing in 100% odds of a fee reduce in September now, in accordance with futures buying and selling tracked by the CME FedWatch software.
Gold futures, 5 years
A weakening greenback has additionally supported demand for bullion. On Tuesday, the U.S. dollar rebounded after falling to a five-week low.
“Curiosity to ‘buy-the-dip’ remained prevalent amongst buyers amid robust sentiment in the direction of gold, which is probably going why the market was fast to rally on comfortable U.S. knowledge prints and dovish Fed expectations,” UBS strategist Joni Teves stated in a be aware on Friday.
“With the market sitting simply above the psychological $2400 stage, we expect dangers are skewed to the upside,” Teves continued. “We expect positioning stays lean and there is house for buyers to construct gold publicity.”
Gold rallied to file highs within the first half of 2024 on the again of a multiyear spike in demand from central banks around the globe, as mounting world geopolitical dangers boosted curiosity within the protected haven asset. In line with UBS, central financial institution shopping for of bullion is the very best it has been because the late Nineteen Sixties.
“With some central banks now questioning the security of holding USD- and EUR-denominated property (following the monetary and debt crises and extra lately the battle in Ukraine), many are selecting to as an alternative fill their reserves with gold,” learn a be aware final month from UBS.
Gold mining shares additionally superior on Tuesday. The VanEck Gold Miners ETF gained 3.4%, posting a fifth successful day in six. The U.S.-listed shares of Concord Gold and Gold Fields rose 16.1% and 6.3%, respectively.
