No surprises within the Federal Reserve’s coverage. The Fed funds fee was unchanged and the projections on the place charges might be over the following 3 years remained the identical as in December.
The variations got here within the Fed’s projections for the financial system (2025 progress revised down from 2.1% to 1.7%) and inflation ( for 2025 revised up from 2.5% to 2.8).
With the projections holding regular at round 4.3% to 4.4% (presently 4.1%).
They downplayed the latest decline in private spending and rising inflation expectations. Calling it a slowdown, fairly than the beginning of something extra. And citing the long term inflation expectations stay in fine condition.
It’s all simply an informed guess. You possibly can’t take all of it too severely.
Shares moved larger, whereas rates of interest got here down a little bit. And the declined after the two pm announcement.
The subsequent actual hurdle for the inventory market is round 5750-5785 on the (highlighted space above on the chart hooked up under).
There’s a confluence that features however not restricted to:
200-day transferring common
March seventh open value hole
January’s swing low
The post-election hole
38% retrace stage
What was as soon as assist could now develop into resistance. The bulls will need to get costs above earlier than later. We’ll see.
– Analytics & Forecasts – 22 March 2025
